CME Scoreboard

Prediction for CME (2016-01-02T01:50:00-CME-001)

:Issued: 2016 Jan 02 0911 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto
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# FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE  from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)         #
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NOAA AR 2473 produced an M2.3 flare peaking at 00:11UT January 2. It was associated with a dimming and radio sweeps and was responsible for an increase in the >10 MeV protons. The >10 MeV proton flux values passed the event threshold of 10 pfu around 4:30UT, peaked at 21.5 pfu at 4:50UT and since decreased below the event threshold again.
SoHO/LASCO C2 coronagraph data show a partial halo CME directed towards the South-West from 23:24UT January 1 onwards. Its angular extent is about 200 degrees (CACTUS misinterpreted and overestimated the angular extent).
Analysis to assess a possible Earth impact is ongoing but given the location of the event on the disk and the angular extent at least a shock arrival at Earth seems to be expected.
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